Métodos Estatísticos

Base Knowledge

 

Recommended Knowledge

Differential and integral calculus.

Teaching Methodologies

Teaching Methods

Theoretical classes will use the expository method.

Practical classes will be dedicated to problem solving, under the guidance of the teacher

Learning Results

Goals

It is intended that students acquire basic concepts of statistics and probability, including the language and rules inherent to those concepts, and relate the learned language/concepts to real everyday problems.

Skills

It is intended that the student has the skills to identify techniques that allow the statistical analysis of data and perform, if necessary, statistical inference, possibly resorting to statistical software.

Program

Syllabus

1. Probability

Random experiences. Results space. Events. Event space. Notions of probability. Resulting axioms and theorems. Conditioned probability. Independent events. Total probability Theorem and Bayes’ Theorem.

2. Discrete Random Variables and Discrete Probability Distributions

Definition of random variable. Discrete random variable. Probability finction and distributin function. Expected value, variance and properties. Hypergeometric distribution, Binomial distribution, Geometric distribution and Poisson distribution. Discrete bidimensional random variables. Joint probability function and joint distribution function. Marginal probability functions. Conditioned  probability function. Independent random variables. Covariance and correlation coefficient.

3. Continuous Random Variables and Continuous Probability Distributions

Continuous random variables. Probability density function and distribution function. Expected value, variance and properties. Continuous uniform distribution. Normal distribution. Exponential distribution. Central Limit theorem and applications.

4. Sampling. Samplig distributions. Estimation

Introduction to statistical inference. Random sampling. Point estimation. Estimators and estimates. Estimator properties. Interval estimation. Confidence interval for the expected value of a normal population. Confidence interval for the variance of a normal distribution. Confidence interval for the difference of expected values and for the quotient of variances of two normal distributions.

5. Parametric hypothesis tests.

Introduction, notions and methodology. Testing the expected value. Testing the variance of a normal distribution. Testing the proportion. Testing the difference of expected values and the quotient of variances of normal distributions.

If possible, a brief introduction to software for statistical data analysis will be presented, with applications to the syllabus decribed above.

Curricular Unit Teachers

Internship(s)

NAO

Bibliography

Bibliography

Recommended:

Notes for theoretical classes, provided by the teacher

Pedrosa A., Gama S. (2004) Introdução Computacional à Probabilidade e Estatística, Porto Editora

Guimarães R., Cabral J. (2007) Estatística, 2 ed., Mc Graw Hill

Complementary:

Bowker A, Lieberman G. (1972) Engineering Statistics, 2 ed., Prentice Hall

Murteira B. et all (2002) Introdução à Estatística, Mc Graw-Hill

Ross S. (2004) Introduction to Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists, 3 ed., Elsevier